Model uncertainty and endogeneity in aid-growth regressions
【略歴】
2003: Ph.D., University of York （英国）
2003: University of Sheffield経済学部助教授（英国）
2004: University of Leicester経済学部助教授（英国）
2007: 政策研究大学院大学 (GRIPS) 准教授
【主要な著作・論文等】
Dasgupta, A., Leon-Gonzalez, R. and Shortland, A. (2011) “Regionality Revisited: An Examination of the Direction of Spread of Currency Crises,” Journal of International Money and Finance [forthcoming].
Jochmann, M., Koop, G., Leon-Gonzalez, R. and Strachan, R. (2011) “Stochastic Search Variable Selection in Vector Error Correction Models with an Application to a Model of the UK Macroeconomy,” Journal of Applied Econometrics, [forthcoming].
Leon-Gonzalez, R. and Tseng, F.M. (2011) “Socio-economic determinants of Mortality in Taiwan: Combining Individual and Aggregate Data,” Health Policy, 99, 22-36.
Yang, F and Leon-Gonzalez, R. (2010) “Bayesian Estimation and Model Selection in the Generalized Stochastic Unit Root Model” Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 14, 1-36.
Koop G., R. León-González and R. Strachan (2010), “Dynamic probabilities of restrictions in state space models: An application to the Phillips curve,” Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 28, 370-379.
Koop G., R. León-González and R. Strachan (2010) “Efficient Posterior Simulation for Cointegrated Models with Priors On the Cointegration Space,” Econometric Reviews, 29, 1-19.
Leon, A. and Leon-Gonzalez, R. (2009) “Predicting soil organic carbon percentage from loss-on-ignition using Bayesian Model Averaging,” Australian Journal of Soil Research, 47(8), 763-769.
Koop G., R. León-González and R. Strachan (2009), “On the evolution of the monetary policy transmission mechanism,” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 33, 997-1017
Leon-Gonzalez, R. and Scarpa, R. (2008) “Improving Multi-Site Benefit Functions Via Bayesian Model Averaging: A New Approach To Benefit Transfer,” Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 56, 50-68.
Koop G., R. León-González and R. Strachan (2008), “Bayesian Inference in a Cointegrating Panel Data Model” Advances in Econometrics, 23, 433-469
Cresser, M.S., Gonzalez, R.L., Leon, A. (2007) “Evaluation of the use of soil depth and parent material data when predicting soil organic carbon concentration from LOI values” Geoderma, 140, 132-139
Contoyannis, P., Jones, A.M. and León-González,R. (2004) “Using Simulation?Based Inference with Panel Data in Health Economics” Health Economics, 13, 101-122
León-González, R. and Montolio, D. (2004) "Growth, Convergence and Public Investment. A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach" Applied Economics, 36, 1925-1936
Jochmann, M. and León-González, R. (2004) "Estimating the demand for health care with panel data: a semiparametric Bayesian approach" Health Economics, 13, 1003-1014
Leon-Gonzalez, R. (2003) “A Panel Data Simultaneous Equation Model with a Dependent Categorical Variable and Selectivity” Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 12, 1, 230-242
León, R. and León, C. (2003) “Single or Double Bounded Contingent Valuation? A Bayesian Test”, Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 50, 2, 174-188.
León, C., Vázquez-Polo, F. J. and León González,R. (2003) “Elicitation of Expert Opinion in Benefit Transfer of Environmental Goods”, Environmental and Resource Economics, 26, 2, 199-210.
(1) ACADEMIC PAPERS(including those published in general journals)
Collaboratively authored papers (published and forthcoming)
Dasgupta, A., Leon-Gonzalez, R. and Shortland, A. (2011) "Regionality Revisited: An Examination of the Direction of Spread of Currency Crises," forthcoming in Journal of International Money and Finance.
Jochmann, M., Koop, G., Leon-Gonzalez, R. and Strachan, R. W. (2011), Stochastic search variable selection in vector error correction models with an application to a model of the UK macroeconomy. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 26: n/a. doi: 10.1002/jae.1238
Leon-Gonzalez, R. and Tseng, F.M. (2011), Socio-economic determinants of mortality in Taiwan:Combining individual and aggregate data, Health Policy, 99, pp. 23-36.
Yang, F and Leon-Gonzalez, R. (2010) "Bayesian Estimation and Model Selection in the Generalized Stochastic Unit Root Model" Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, Vol. 14: No. 4, Article 5.
(2) PRESENTATIONS DELIVERED AT ACADEMIC CONFERENCES AND INVITED SEMINARS
"Rimini Conference in Economics and Finance," University of Bologna, Faculty of Economics(Rimini). "Stochastic Search Variable Selection in Vector Error Correction Models with an Application to a Model of the UK Macroeconomy," June 2010.
"Bayesian Model Averaging in the Instrumental Variable Regression Model" European Seminar on Bayesian Econometrics (ESOBE, Rotterdam, November 2010)
"Bayesian Inference in a Cointegrating Panel Data Model" Invited Seminar at "Cardiff Business School" (September, 2010)
(3) OTHERS (papers submitted for publication)
Chan, J.C.C., Koop, G., Leon-Gonzalez, R. and Strachan, R. (2010) "Time Varying Dimension Models" RCEA working paper, WP 10-44.
Koop, G., Leon-Gonzalez, R. and Strachan, R. (2010) "Bayesian Model Averaging in the Instrumental Variable Regression Model," GRIPS Discussion paper, pp.10-32.
2009.04～2010.03
(1) ACADEMIC PAPERS(including those published in general journals)
Collaboratively authored papers
Leon, A. and Leon-Gonzalez, R. (2009) "Predicting soil organic carbon percentage from loss-on-ignition using Bayesian Model Averaging," Australian Journal of Soil Research, 47 (8), pp.763-769.
Koop G., R. Leon-Gonzalez and R. Strachan (2010) "Efficient Posterior Simulation for Cointegrated Models with Priors On the Cointegration Space," Econometric Reviews, 29, pp.1-19.
Leon-Gonzalez, R. and Tseng, F. (2010) "Socio-economic determinants of mortality in Taiwan: Combining individual and aggregate data," forthcoming in Health Policy.
Yang, F and Leon-Gonzalez, R. (2010) "Bayesian Estimation and Model Selection in the Generalized Stochastic Unit Root Model" forthcoming in Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics.
(2) PRESENTATIONS DELIVERED AT ACADEMIC CONFERENCES
"Bayesian Econometrics Workshop", Faculty of Economics (Rimini). "Specification Uncertainty in the Instrumental Variable Regression Model: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach," University of Bologna, July 2009.
The 4th Japanese-European Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics Meeting (JEuBES 2009) "Specification Uncertainty in the Instrumental Variable Regression Model: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach," Barcelona, August 2009.
Congress of the European Economic Association and the Econometric Society European meeting (EEA-ESEM) "Bayesian Inference in the Time-Varying Cointegration Model," Barcelona, August 2009.
Far East and South Asia Meeting of the Econometric Society (FESAMES 2009) "Bayesian Inference in the Time-Varying Cointegration Model," Tokyo, August 2009.
"Socio-economic determinants of Mortality in Taiwan: Combining Individual Data and Aggregate Data," Tokyo Institute of Technology, Department of Social Engineering, 26th January 2010.
International Workshop on Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics, "Bayesian Inference in the time-varying cointegration model," University of Tokyo, 5th February 2010.
(3) OTHERS (papers submitted for publication)
Jochmann, M., Koop, G., Leon-Gonzalez, R. and Strachan, R. (2009) "Stochastic Search Variable Selection in Vector Error Correction Models with an Application to a Model of the UK Macroeconomy," Discussion paper in economics 19-09, University of Strathclyde.
2008.04～2009.03
(1) ACADEMIC PAPERS(including those published in general journals)
Collaboratively authored papers (accepted for publication)
Koop G., R. Leon-Gonzalez and R. Strachan, "On the evolution of the monetary policy transmission mechanism," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 33, pp.997-1017 (2009).
Koop G., R. Leon-Gonzalez and R. Strachan (2009), "Dynamic probabilities of restrictions in state space models: An application to the Phillips curve," forthcoming in Journal of Business and Economic Statistics. Available at: http://www.rcfea.org/RePEc/pdf/wp26_08.pdf
(2) PRESENTATIONS DELIVERED AT ACADEMIC CONFERENCES
"Bayesian Inference in the Time-Varying Cointegration Model" with G. Koop and R. Strachan at "Bayesian Econometrics Workshop," University of Bologna, Faculty of Economics (Rimini), June 4, 2008.
"On the Evolution of Monetary Policy," with G. Koop and R. Strachan. Presented by G. Koop at "Bayesian Econometrics Workshop," University of Bologna, Faculty of Economics (Rimini), June 4, 2008.
"Dynamic probabilities of restrictions in state space models: An application to the Phillips curve," with G. Koop and R. Strachan. Presented by R. Strachan at "Bayesian Econometrics Workshop," University of Bologna, Faculty of Economics (Rimini), June 3, 2008.
"Bayesian Inference in the Time-Varying Cointegration Model," Contributed paper at the Joint Statistical Meetings of the American Statistical Association, August 2-7, 2008.
(3) OTHERS (papers submitted for publication)
Koop G., R. Leon-Gonzalez and R. Strachan (2008), "Bayesian Inference in the Time-Varying Cointegration Model," submitted to a refereed journal. Available at: http://personal.strath.ac.uk/gary.koop/kls8.pdf
Leon-Gonzalez, R. and Tseng, F.M., "Socio-economic determinants of Mortality in Taiwan: Combining Individual Data and Aggregate Data," submitted to a refereed journal. Available at: http://www3.grips.ac.jp/~pinc/data/09-01.pdf
Li, G. and Leon-Gonzalez, R. "A Correction Function Approach to Solve the Incidental Parameter Problem," Submitted to a refereed journal. Available at: http://www.cardiff.ac.uk/carbs/econ/workingpapers/papers/E2009_6.pdf
2007.04～2008.03
(1) ACADEMIC PAPERS
Collaboratively authored papers
Leon-Gonzalez, R. and Scarpa, R., “Improving Multi-Site Benefit Functions Via Bayesian Model Averaging: A New Approach To Benefit Transfer,” Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, No.56, pp.50-68 (2008).
(2) PRESENTATIONS DELIVERED AT ACADEMIC CONFERENCES
Rodney Strachan, Gary Koop, and Roberto Leon-Gonzalez, “Bayesian Inference in a Cointegrating Panel Data Model,” 6th Annual Advances in Econometrics Conference, Louisiana, November 2-4, 2007. (Presenting Author: Rodney Strachan)
(3) OTHERS (including papers forthcoming and under review)
Koop G., Leon-Gonzalez R. and Strachan R., “Bayesian Inference in a Cointegrating Panel Data Model,” Advances in Econometrics, vol. 23, forthcoming (2008). Available at: http://www.le.ac.uk/economics/research/RePEc/lec/leecon/dp06-2.pdf
Koop G., Leon-Gonzalez R. and Strachan R., “On the Evolution of Monetary Policy,” (2007). Available at: http://personal.strath.ac.uk/gary.koop/koop_leongonzalez_strachan_kls5.pdf
"A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach to Instrumental Variables," Japan Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology Start-up Grant (B), September 2008 - April 2010.
2008.04～2009.03
"A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach to Instrumental Variables," Japan Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology Start-up Grant (B), September 2008 - April 2010.
Visiting researcher: Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB) (Barcelona Institute of Economics), University of Barcelona, 27th Feb. – 4th March 2010.
2009.04～2010.03
(1) ACTIVITIES AT OTHER UNIVERSITIES AND RESEARCH CENTERS
Visiting researcher: University of Strathclyde, 4th July-11th July 2009.
Visiting researcher: University of Brisbane, School of Economics, 26th October- 6 November 2009.
Visiting researcher: University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Department of Applied Economic Analysis, 22nd March - 31 March 2010.
2008.04～2009.03
(1) ACTIVITIES AT OTHER UNIVERSITIES AND RESEARCH CENTERS
①Visiting lectureships
Tokyo Institute of Technology, Department of Social Engineering. "Improving Multi-Site Benefit Functions Via Bayesian Model Averaging: A New Approach To Benefit Transfer" February 19, 2009.
②Other activities
Visiting Researcher: Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB) (Barcelona Institute of Economics), University of Barcelona, March 10-26, 2009.
活動報告詳細は こちら